Posts Tagged ‘US Election’

Biden finally chose has made his choice of Vice President.

While his already signalled he would choose a black female candidate, the choice is the least controversial choice.

This choice will be exacerbating the US divide. It has a few good things and a few bad things.

  • She is not extreme left (she did not support the wealth tax nor the breakup of Facebook).
  • She is Indian- Jamaican so it consolidates Biden’s appeal to the Black Community – he is clearly hoping on the Obama effect (under Obama 64% of the Black voters turned out vs normally 60%).
  • She is quite eloquent and she would held up in a debate (remember Palin)
  • She was a prosecutor and a very hard one- people call her “Cop Kalama”. Especially she was not lenient at all against the Black poor community.
  • She is not liked by the Left of the Democrat Party
  • In the 90s while dating San Francisco Mayor Brown, she got a few special favours (government car, and highly paid State position) and the mayor got investigated by the FBI

The really interesting thing that could put off a lot of voters is that Biden, 78, always considered himself a “bridge President” as he will be 82 (if he is still fit) in the next election.

This means that American should be prepared to have for the next election an immigrant born (Indian-Jamaican) female Black President. So definitely she will increase the divide (if possible) between Trump supporters and Biden supporters).

At the moment I think she will not have much sway on the outcome (VP rarely do – but the age of Biden could put her more on the centre of attention.


Race on: Trump and Clinton

Posted: March 16, 2016 in Uncategorized

Well that is quite a definitive Super Tuesday 3.

Funny things. A race is not over till it is over – but

Trump could be not elected only via dodgy schemes of the republican conventions (there are some rules -quite difficult to understand and explain. In effect if he does not reach 1237 delegates things can get really messy. Also if he reaches that level there are other rules that could apply. Definitely quite far from Democracy, but a clear and definite risk since the establishment hates him.

Kasich won also, but he would need more than all the candidates to win. That the news spruce him so much just tell you that he is an establishment guy.

Clinton instead is set for a clear run. Unless the FBI really indicts her with charges related to the email scandal (the grand jury just granted immunity to a senior staffer). If this play out, again weird rules apply and probably it will not Sanders to become candidate, but  a special ballot at the convention with numerous potential candidates. But clearly, from several interviews,  she is the best candidate in the opinion of President Obama – a powerful friend.

The polls in a Trump vs Clinton are still full on for Clinton (5 polls to 1)- but for the first time USA Today in a 15 March poll the winner was Trump.

It seems a race for Establishment vs Democracy to me. A more interesting race than ever!


From Politico.comCapture Trump vs Clinton