As I thought Iran wants regime survival and calibrated a great show off attack. Lots of noise and no killing.
It gave the perfect de_escalation tool for President Trump that does not want another sand war _ also now US is mostly Arab oil independent.
Logically this will be a long war (well Iranian started in 1983 with the Lebanon barracks bombing…).
The red line that has been crossed is actually the fact that Iranian (Russian Chinese) cannot count anymore on impunity and so they need to calculate very carefully their moves.
Oil and gold retreated, but they do represents a good hedge.
In Iran a passenger Boeing crashed. Although everyone is pointing to an accident the flight path and rate of ascent does not look like it. Iranian will not hand over the black boxes.
My $2 would go to a mistaken identity case shot down by anti_air Iranian projectile (not missile).
Another downing like the one in Ukraine were the truth will be never be known.