Thanks to Islamic State now all the focus is back to the Middle East and President Putin seized the occasion to freeze the Ukrainian conflict in his favour.
– Now winter is coming
– The Ukrainian PM granted special free zone to some of the rebel cities
– Ukraine knows that the US has short attention span, while Russia can play a long game
– Europe is less than convinced to participate to the US cold war. They depend on Russian energy, they have a lot of trade with Russia and the defence budget is just 2% with no intention of increasing it – due to the crisis.
– The US has no intention to support Ukraine with air strikes or boots on the ground.
So now Russia will not invade anyone else (this was a simple defensive move to a US aggression as the ousting of the Pro Russian elected government was done by the CIA – proof in an intercepted phonecall between Washington and their ambassador in Ukraine). But it will use the carrot and stick technique with a lot of Eastern European (and not) countries.