investorpolitico

Russia is tensing is military might over Crimea and the one with good memory will remember the small, but savage war between Russia and Georgia a few year ago.

The Russian military exercise is a clear warning to the West. We can and we will do it again. And with the military exercise already on the go, the possibility of a surprise attack is real and feasible.

This is a message from Putin to the West saying we better start negotiating.

And the West will negotiate. As Georgia shows, the West can do very little around this confrontation – yes the Russian forces are a shadow of the USSR military might, but still a force to be reckon with – and would you imagine the issue…..can’t even think about it…too reminiscent of the avoided Third World War.

So, there will be negotiations.

The battle for Ukraine has been won…now the West will target other Russian periphery (Georgia, Moldova etc).

Please do not start thinking about the evil imperialistic USA. It is just politics as usual.

Those countries after the II World War fell under the USSR.

After the fall of the USSR, the US took them over (Colours Revolutions).

As the US was bogged down in the Middle East they were taken back by Russia.

With the Middle East disengagement the US is taking them back (Russia has the moment has a big voice, but it is very weak).

When they will finish it, they will concentrate on China – if necessary.

Every person that antagonize the US, should always think of what supposedly(as the real word have not be recorded) Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto, the greatest 2 World War Japanese strategist behind Pearl Harbour.

When congratulated by the Emperor, apparently he said something on the like of  “I fear all we have done is to awaken a sleeping giant and fill him with a terrible resolve” (from the movie Tora Tora Tora) or the more likely version from a letter “I can run wild for six months … after that, I have no expectation of success” (great strategist the downfall of Japan started in the Battle of Midway, exactly 6 month after Pearl Harbour)

Yamamoto was killed in his airplane by a P38 Lightning of the US Air force on April 1943.

Politics as usual.

The shale and gas oil revolution is already shaping the new economic and warfare battleground of this century.

Middle East is getting abandoned and the new places are North/East/South Africa (US, France, China, Japan, Germany mainly), the Antarctic (US, Russia, China, Canada, Norway and Sweden mainly) and South Pacific (China, USA, Japan, Russia, South and North Korea, Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, India mainly).

There are some flashpoint where shale gas is at sea (Falkland again and the piece of sea between Cyprus and Turkey/Israel, mainly)

The rotation of the US military strategy is almost concluded.

At the start of Obama Presidency the US was bogged down in the Middle East. This was causing a major geopolitical headache as the US could not concentrate on its real enemies, Russia and China.

China and Russia profiteer of this condition. Russia practically turned back all the “colour revolution” in the ex USSR state and China became very assertive over the Sendaku/Diaoyudao and Spratley islands.

Now the insurrection in Ukraine (the intercepted, by the Germans, mobile conversation between US Assistant Secretary of State  Nuland and the US Ambassador in Ukraine leaves no doubt) is clearly sponsored by the US and the weaponisation of Japan and other US countries in Asia make it clear that the “pivot” is almost complete.

Middle East is not forgotten, but it is now a “capture or kill” area for SEAL and various special forces hunting territory.

Welcome back to the Cold war scenario (OK, not so cold now)